Jacob Beatty, P.E.Hydrology & hydraulics · Birmingham, AL See the work
Work

Flood modeling at any scale

17 square miles of one city, 79.5 square miles of one watershed shared by six jurisdictions, 186.5 square miles of a city spanning several watersheds, and 391 square miles of basin-wide screening. The same rain-on-mesh approach, adapted to different questions, levels of detail, and available data.

The Homewood model: the FEMA 100-year floodplain in yellow along Shades Creek, with red dots on the flooded buildings the map does not cover.

Homewood

City scale

About 17 square miles, with detailed breaklines, culverts, bridges, and comparison against observed and regulatory data.

1,483
buildings flooded
1,204
of them outside the FEMA floodplain

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The Shoal Creek watershed model: modeled flood depth in blue across the basin, the FEMA floodplain in amber, and the dashed outlines of five city limits crossing the watershed boundary.

Shoal Creek

Watershed scale

One HUC-12, 79.5 square miles, draining across six jurisdictions. Montevallo and Wilton sit entirely inside it; Alabaster, Calera and Pea Ridge each keep most of their land somewhere else.

1,128
buildings flooded
6
jurisdictions in one watershed

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The Birmingham model over Village Creek: modeled flooding in blue, the regulatory floodplain in yellow, flooded buildings in red.

Birmingham

Three-watershed scale

Three HUC-12 watersheds covering 186.5 square miles, calibrated against ten USGS gages and checked against the December 2015 flood.

10
USGS gages in the calibration
7 of 8
Q100 peaks inside the 90% CI

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The Cahaba basin rain-on-mesh model: modeled flood depth in blue across 391 square miles, with the FEMA 100-year floodplain traced in amber over it.

Cahaba

Basin scale

A 391-square-mile screening model spanning multiple HUC-12 watersheds and 26 communities.

11,716
buildings flooded
9,918
of them outside the FEMA floodplain

Open the basin map →

Open to anyone. Building-level results are by request.

How they are built

The scale and level of detail differ. The underlying method does not.

  • Terrain. Built on 1-meter LiDAR, hydro-enforced with stream, ridge and road breaklines so water routes the way it really does.
  • Method. 2-D rain-on-mesh in HEC-RAS: rain falls on every cell of the model, then flows downhill across the surface.
  • Inputs. Design rainfall from NOAA Atlas 14, infiltration from SSURGO soils (Green-Ampt), and surface roughness from NLCD land cover (Manning's n).
  • What varies between them. Breakline density, how many hydraulic structures are built, and whether there are gage records to calibrate against. Everything else is the same method pointed at a different area.

What a city does with one

A model becomes valuable when a city keeps using it.

Evaluate new development

Run a proposed subdivision or commercial site and see its downstream effect before it is approved.

Test a fix before you design it

Model a detention basin, a culvert upsize or a channel modification and see what it actually relieves.

Answer a complaint with numbers

Pull up any street and show the real depth and how often it floods.

Prioritize the capital plan

Rank drainage projects by the flooding and damage they actually relieve.

Keep it current

Update it as the city grows or after a major storm, so it reflects today rather than the year it was built.

Make the funding case

Name the buildings a project protects and what the damage costs. That is the arithmetic a FEMA or CDBG application has to show.

Want to see your city modeled?

Most communities start at screening and only pay for detail where the screening says it matters.

jacobbeatty.pe@gmail.com