Where the water actually goes
391 square miles under a 100-year storm. FEMA's regulatory floodplain and a 2D rain-on-mesh model of the same ground, overlaid.
Basemap
Layers
Screening-grade. For ranking and scoping, not a determination about any property, and no substitute for a Flood Insurance Study, a Letter of Map Change or site-specific analysis. FEMA's floodplain governs; the model is an additional view, not a correction.
Building-level results, the per-city breakdowns and the calibration are not published here. Ask me for your city →
Floodplain: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer · Depth grid: HEC-RAS 2D, J. Beatty · Basemap and imagery: Esri
Why rain-on-mesh sees more
A stream jumping its banks is fluvial flooding. That is what the FEMA map shows, using an older 1-D model of the channel. But much of a community's flood damage is pluvial: rain falling faster than the ground and storm drains can move it, pooling in streets, yards and low spots, often nowhere near a mapped stream.
Run that same storm as a 2-D rain-on-mesh model, tracing where every drop flows across the whole surface, and it floods far more ground than the FEMA map shows.
- 1-D hydraulic model
- Fluvial only: channels and rivers
- Not built for rain-driven street and low-spot flooding
- 2-D rain-on-mesh model
- Pluvial + fluvial: the whole surface
- Every drop, across streets, yards and creeks